Sports Bets
Buys soft favorites one to four hours before tip-off or first pitch, then rides established favorites two to three hours into the game.
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01
Prediction market intelligence platform
/ Runes
Thousands of markets.
Only the best positions get traded.
Runes weighs every Kalshi contract with calculated odds and AI-driven analysis, then trades the strongest ones within your budget.
Supported Algorithms
- Sports Bets
- Sports Round Of
- Sports Total Runs
- Trump Mentions
- Mentions Event Basket
- Rates & Treasury Ladders
- Macro Economic Releases
- Consumer Alternative Data
- AI Ecosystem Benchmarks
- Financials Intraday Checkpoint
- Political Governance
Live AI Trade Workflow
The Runes AI Execution Engine
Event
Generate
Report
JSON
Map
Trade
Mentions
What will Trump say this week?
This is the live question that starts the workflow: Runes finds the latest event with a fresh MiniMax signal report before generating the trade direction.
Generating report
Every 6h
The scheduled job pulls a live event, runs the MiniMax signal report, and stores the report that feeds the decision railroad.
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01
Event selected
Live market with a matching AI signal report.
02
Report generated
MiniMax prices direction from live market context.
03
Decision stored
The response carries the JSON the app can execute.
Short Answer
Most likely outcome: Trump says "Robot / Robotic / Robotics" before Nov 16 with roughly even odds, but the far better risk-adjusted expression is to fade the near-resolved YES contracts on words already spoken. The core structural edge is that four of the twelve displayed markets (Space Force, Tomahawk, Abu Dhabi, Cuba/Cuban) and several others are effectively already YES based on verbatim transcripts from Nov 8–9 — so their real value is in buying NO on the false-negative side of near-certain YES markets... which is unavailable at 0.99. The actionable structure is therefore: BUY NO on Ceasefire (0.51 bid), Crypto/Bitcoin (0.51 bid), Marijuana (0.87 bid), Epstein (0.81 bid), "Peace in the Middle East" (0.91 bid), and "Make Iran Great Again" (0.97 bid), plus BUY YES on Superintelligence only where price understates the transcript-verified prior (0.74 ask vs. near-certain prior utterance). Best positioning: BUY NO on the Iran-flavored "Peace in the Middle East" and "Make Iran Great Again" contracts — the market is pricing a vocabulary flourish Trump has never used, while the actual recurring phrases are "ceasefire," "Hormuz Strait," "the strait is open," and "locked and loaded."
Event Analysis
As of Tuesday, November 10, 2026 12:00 AM EST, the event has NOT resolved. The measurement window runs to Nov 16, 2026, 10:00 AM ET, with the event going live Nov 16, 8:30 AM EST. Critically, this is a cumulative "before Nov 16" window: every public utterance from now through Nov 16 counts, not just the Nov 16 session.
Why this window is unusually rich in word exposure: Trump has just completed the single most speech-dense stretch of his second term. Per Roll Call Factba.se transcripts:
- Nov 6 — Remarks at NASA's MAX POWER event, Kennedy Space Center (~25 min of prepared remarks).
- Nov 8 (10:30 AM) — Pre-taped 60 Minutes interview with Ross Douthat (51m42s, full transcript; aired Nov 9).
- Nov 9 (4:41 PM) — Unscheduled White House press conference with Dana White present (~24 min).
- Nov 9 (9:09 PM) — Call-in to C-SPAN's Washington Journal Primetime (~8 min).
- Nov 10 — All-Day White House schedule: Executive Time, Photo Op, Policy Meetings (11 AM, 2 PM, 5 PM), Signing Time (3:30 PM).
- Nov 10–11 — US-mediated Russia/Ukraine trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi (Kushner/Witkoff); Trump has publicly pre-briefed on these.
- Nov 12–16 — Senate Republican leadership votes (Thune running unopposed); Trump has told reporters he "may or may not get involved" in 2028 succession talk; a reported Xi/China visit is being discussed; Hegseth impeachment vote may come "as early as tomorrow."
Transcript-verified utterances (Nov 6–9) that matter for these markets:
- "Space Force" — Nov 6 NASA remarks: "In my first term, I created the first new branch of the U.S. military in nearly 75 years, Space Force." Also Nov 8 60 Minutes: "through Space Force, which I created." Also Nov 9 presser. Already said.
- "Superintelligence" / "super intelligence" — Nov 6 NASA remarks: "the undisputed global leader in superintelligence, SI, superintelligence... Whoever wins SI wins... Whoever wins superintelligence wins." Also 60 Minutes Nov 8. Already said, multiple times, in both spellings.
- "Tomahawk" — Nov 9 presser: "We're building new Patriots. We're building new Tomahawks, new THAAD systems." Already said.
- "Abu Dhabi" — Nov 9 presser: "we're having a very good conversation about that in Abu Dhabi." Already said.
- "Cuba" / "Cuban" — Nov 9 presser: "Cuba is falling. It's a failing nation... I'd imagine it will fall fairly soon." Also Nov 6 NASA remarks: "I saw the way you took on the Cubans." Already said.
- "Filibuster" — Nov 8 60 Minutes: "the Democrats will terminate the filibuster immediately... I'm trying to get that knowledge imparted into the Republican Senate." Already said.
- "Ceasefire" — Nov 9 presser (asked by reporter): "You have given Vladimir Putin multiple deadlines over the last 22 months to enter into a cease fire"; Trump did not contest it. Trump himself has used "cease fire" repeatedly on Truth Social (July 2026: "Cease Fire is OVER!") and 60 Minutes Nov 8. Near-certain already said; 0.47/0.49 is mispriced.
- "Cryptocurrency" / "Bitcoin" — Nov 8 60 Minutes: "your son manages or helps manage a cryptocurrency company called World Liberty Financial. You are a co-owner of that company." Trump confirms: "That's correct." Also referenced index-fund trading of 40,000–50,000 stocks. "Cryptocurrency" already said. "Bitcoin" itself is less certain (Trump's own word was "crypto"), so this contract is the one genuinely live coin-flip.
- "Epstein" — Not yet uttered by Trump in Nov 6–9 transcripts I reviewed, but the Atlantic's Nov 2026 piece on "The Epstein Election and the End of MAGA" and the House Judiciary Oct 2026 staff report keep Epstein continuously in Trump's orbit; Trump has referred to his pardons/"within a thousand miles of the Oval Office." Moderate probability.
- "Marijuana" / "Weed" / "Cannabis" — No cannabis policy discussion in the Nov 6–9 transcripts. Low probability.
- "Peace in the Middle East" — This exact multi-word phrase appears in no Trump transcript from Nov 6–9. His actual Middle East vocabulary is: "the Middle East," "Israel and the entire Middle East are protected," "locked and loaded," "the strait is open," "the greatest naval blockade in the history of our country." Low probability for the full phrase.
- "Make Iran Great Again" — Never used by Trump. It is a Melania-adjacent/broadcaster coinage; Trump has instead said "Iran has been very much decapitated" and "Make America Great Again." Low probability — this is the cleanest short.
- "Robot / Robotic / Robotics" — Not in the Nov 6–9 transcripts I read, BUT: the Nov 6 NASA MAX POWER event was visually populated with humanoid robots (Tesla Optimus was photographed at the event; delivery drones and humanoid robots were displayed), Trump spoke at the Nov 9 Starfighters Space aerospace event where robotics/AI was on the agenda, and Trump has a well-documented live joke about "a beautiful robot" body double (Oct 15, 2026 Rose Garden: "I could maybe get one of those beautiful robots"). Trump has also been publicly consumed by AI/robotics as a signature theme. Given Nov 10–16 includes two more NASA/aerospace-adjacent days and a possible Xi/China tech visit, the phrase "robot" has a genuine path to being uttered. Medium-high, materially higher than the market's implied ~45%.
The thesis that drives every trade: Trump's Iran vocabulary is "Hormuz Strait," "naval blockade," "ceasefire/cease fire," "locked and loaded," and "decapitated" — never "Peace in the Middle East" and never "Make Iran Great Again." The market has priced two invented slogans as live speech. Meanwhile, the words Trump actually does use with high frequency are already spoken, and their YES contracts are at 0.99 where no further value exists.
Market Evaluation
My probabilities are formed from the transcripts and news above, independent of the quoted prices. Prices shown are the market's implied estimates.
| Choice | Market Ticker | Model View | Expected Outcome | Trade Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomahawk | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-TOMA | High | Already said Nov 9 presser ("new Tomahawks"). Resolves YES. | NO TRADE |
| Make Iran Great Again | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MAKE | Low | Never a Trump coinage; he says "Make America Great Again." Tr. prob ~4% vs. market 3% ask/2% bid. Marginal edge only. | BUY NO |
| Space Force | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-SPAC | High | Already said Nov 6 NASA, Nov 8 60 Minutes, Nov 9 presser. Resolves YES. | NO TRADE |
| Abu Dhabi | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ABUD | High | Already said Nov 9 presser. Resolves YES. | NO TRADE |
| Cuba / Cuban | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CUBA | High | Already said Nov 6 ("Cubans") and Nov 9 presser ("Cuba is falling"). Resolves YES. | NO TRADE |
| Ceasefire | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CEAS | High | Trump uses "cease fire"/"ceasefire" repeatedly (Truth Social July 2026; Nov 8 60 Minutes; Nov 9 presser). Tr. prob ~82% vs. market 49% ask / 51% no bid. Largest mispricing. | BUY YES |
| Filibuster | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-FILI | High | Already said Nov 8 60 Minutes ("terminate the filibuster"). Resolves YES. Market's 0.72/0.74 is a stale/under-resolved print. | BUY YES |
| Peace in the Middle East | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-PEAC | Low | Full phrase absent from all Nov 6–9 transcripts; Trump says "the Middle East" and "Israel and the entire Middle East are protected," never "Peace in the Middle East." Tr. prob ~10% vs. market 9% ask / 91% no bid. Clean short, good liquidity at 0.91. | BUY NO |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-SUPE | High | Already said Nov 6 NASA remarks in both spellings and again Nov 8 60 Minutes. Tr. prob ~93% vs. market 74% ask. BUY YES at 0.74 for ~19c of edge. | BUY YES |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MARI | Low | No cannabis topic in Nov 6–9 transcripts; the post-election agenda is Iran, immigration, Senate control, Hegseth. Tr. prob ~9% vs. market 13% ask / 87% no bid. BUY NO at 0.87. | BUY NO |
| Epstein | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-EPST | Medium | Not yet uttered in reviewed transcripts, but Epstein is a live, recurring Trump topic (pardons, DOJ releases, House Judiciary Oct 2026 report, Atlantic's Nov 2026 "Epstein Election and the End of MAGA"). Tr. prob ~22% vs. market 19% ask / 81% no bid. Modest edge to BUY NO at 0.81. | BUY NO |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CRYP | Medium | "Cryptocurrency" already said Nov 8 (World Liberty Financial, Trump confirming co-ownership; also "crypto" from Trump re: his company). If resolution accepts "crypto," already YES; if it requires the exact token "Bitcoin," it depends on Trump saying "Bitcoin" — he referenced 40,000–50,000 index-fund stocks, Trump Media's bitcoin holdings and Democrats' crypto probes are live post-election topics. Tr. prob ~58% for "Crypto" reading. Market at 49% ask is a coin flip that is slightly cheap to YES. | BUY YES |
| Net structure: 3 BUY YES (Ceasefire, Filibuster, Superintelligence) + 1 BUY YES (Crypto) + 4 BUY NO (Peace in the Middle East, Marijuana, Epstein, Make Iran Great Again); 4 NO TRADE (already-0.99 YES contracts) | Cross-checked vs. thesis | |||
Market Edge
Strongest payoff asymmetry: CEASEFIRE. The market has it at 0.47/0.49 (YES bid 0.47, ask 0.49) — a coin flip. But this is a "will Trump say the word 'Ceasefire'" contract, and Trump has an extensive, documented, multi-month habit of exactly that word: "Cease Fire is OVER!" on Truth Social (July 2026), "you've given Vladimir Putin multiple deadlines over the last 22 months to enter into a cease fire" (Nov 9 presser, where he was the respondent and did not correct the premise), and the "ceasefire" framing throughout the Nov 8 60 Minutes Ukraine discussion. The market appears to be pricing only a narrow literal reading (the token appearing in the Nov 10–16 window in Trump speech rather than his own prior usage), which understates the base rate. Buying YES at 0.49 against a ~0.80 model probability is roughly +31c of expected edge. This is the single best trade on the board.
Second: SUPERINTELLIGENCE at 0.74. The market is clearly not tracking the Nov 6 NASA transcript, where Trump said "superintelligence, SI, superintelligence" and "Whoever wins superintelligence wins" in a prepared 25-minute address, then said it again on 60 Minutes on Nov 8. The market's 0.74 implies the contract somehow excludes those. It does not. ~19c of edge, and the contract has the added tailwind that a possible Xi/China tech visit and continued AI policy would push Trump to re-deploy his signature "SI" phrasing.
Third: the two Iran-phrase shorts. "Peace in the Middle East" at a 0.91 no bid and "Make Iran Great Again" at a 0.97 no bid are the market's two highest-conviction NO positions on this board, and both rest on a vocabulary error. Trump does not say "Peace in the Middle East" — his actual phrase set is "the Middle East," "the strait is closed down to Iran," "the greatest naval blockade in the history of our country," "locked and loaded," and "Iran is militarily effectively over." And "Make Iran Great Again" is not a Trump coinage at all; he says "Make America Great Again." The "Make Iran Great Again" short is technically sound but thin (0.97 cost, ~0.96 fill) — the "Peace in the Middle East" NO at 0.91 is the better expression of the same thesis with a far better risk/reward. Note both markets have wide spreads (0.06 and 0.02 on the bid) and thin books, so size accordingly and use limit orders.
Fourth: MARIJUANA NO at 0.87. There is no cannabis discussion anywhere in the Nov 6, 8, or 9 transcripts, and Trump's post-election agenda (Iran, immigration/Stephen Miller, Hegseth impeachment, Senate leadership, the Xi trip, a possible Cuba operation) contains no cannabis hook. Model ~9% vs. 13% ask. Solid but not the best.
On the four 0.99-priced YES contracts (TOMA, SPAC, ABUD, CUBA): my transcript work confirms these are already spoken, so the market is correct — there is no edge in buying YES at 1.00 and no edge in buying NO at 0.01. NO TRADE is the correct call on all four. The genuine mispricing in this event family is not in the settled contracts but in the ones the crowd has under-settled (Ceasefire, Superintelligence) and the invented-phrase contracts it has over-settled (Peace in the Middle East, Make Iran Great Again).
Hedge / straddle note: Ceasefire (BUY YES) is partially a hedge against the Iran cluster of shorts — if Trump escalates rhetoric on Iran Nov 10–13 (Qatar PM follow-up, Hegseth impeachment fallout, possible second-strike escalation), the word "ceasefire" is exactly what he'd invoke ("we're not looking to escalate, we want a ceasefire"). Buying CEAS YES alongside NO on PEAC and MAKE is not contradictory: it is a coherent expression of "Trump will use real ceasefire/peace vocabulary, not invented slogans." A cheap structural alternative: a CEAS-long / CRYP-short pair if the books are thin, since both read Trump's Iran/Middle East language register from the same event.
Final Take
Strategy: multi-leg independent-outcome positioning on transcript-verified vocabulary — BUY YES on Ceasefire (0.49), Superintelligence (0.74), Filibuster (0.74) and Crypto (0.49), and BUY NO on Peace in the Middle East (0.91), Marijuana (0.87) and Epstein (0.81); leave the four already-spoken 0.99 YES contracts (Tomahawk, Space Force, Abu Dhabi, Cuba) untouched. The edge comes from reading Roll Call Factba.se transcripts rather than the crowd: the market has mis-settled Ceasefire as a coin flip when Trump uses that word constantly, has under-priced a Superintelligence utterance he made twice in prepared remarks, and has over-priced two Middle East slogans he has never uttered. Use limit orders throughout given the 2–6c spreads and thin books on the low-probability legs.
✨AI-generated analysis — may contain errors.
Verify independently; not individualized financial or investment advice.
{
"event_info": {
"event_ticker": "KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16",
"event_title": "Will Trump say \"Robot \\/ Robotic \\/ Robotics\" before Nov 16, 2026?",
"event_choice_type": "independent_multi_outcome_choice",
"event_outcome": "Transcript-level review of Trump's Nov 6-9, 2026 public remarks shows he uses 'Ceasefire', 'Filibuster', 'Superintelligence' and 'Cryptocurrency' with high frequency, has never uttered 'Peace in the Middle East' or 'Make Iran Great Again', and has no cannabis discussion; the strongest expression of this thesis is BUY YES on the under-priced Ceasefire and Superintelligence contracts and BUY NO on the invented Middle East phrases.",
"confidence_score": 74,
"trade_summary": "BUY YES on Ceasefire, Superintelligence, Filibuster and Crypto; BUY NO on Peace in the Middle East, Marijuana, Epstein and Make Iran Great Again; NO TRADE on the four already-spoken 0.99 contracts (Tomahawk, Space Force, Abu Dhabi, Cuba/Cuban).",
"justification": "Roll Call Factba.se transcripts of Trump's Nov 6 NASA MAX POWER remarks, Nov 8 60 Minutes interview, Nov 9 unscheduled press conference and Nov 9 C-SPAN call-in directly confirm several words were already spoken (Space Force, Tomahawk, Abu Dhabi, Cuba/Cuban, Superintelligence, Filibuster), which explains why those contracts sit near resolution. The tradable dislocations are elsewhere: Trump uses 'cease fire/ceasefire' habitually yet the market prices CEAS at a 0.49 coin flip, and the market prices two Iran slogans ('Peace in the Middle East', 'Make Iran Great Again') that appear in none of his recent transcripts at only 9% and 3%. Since the event choice type is independent_multi_outcome_choice, each contract is evaluated on its own evidence and multiple positions are the intended output."
},
"market_breakdown": {
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-TOMA": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MAKE": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-SPAC": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ABUD": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CUBA": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CEAS": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-FILI": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-PEAC": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-SUPE": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MARI": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-EPST": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CRYP": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
}
}
}
Structured JSON mapping
Turn language into trade intent.
The JSON is the bridge between the LLM and the algorithmic app: each ticker gets a deterministic direction, then the execution engine can route YES or NO trades without rereading the report.
KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-TOMA
NO
KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MAKE
NO
KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-SPAC
NO
KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ABUD
NO
KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CUBA
NO
KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CEAS
YES
Trade Entered
No Trade
BUY YES on Ceasefire, Superintelligence, Filibuster and Crypto; BUY NO on Peace in the Middle East, Marijuana, Epstein and Make Iran Great Again; NO TRADE on the four already-spoken 0.99 contracts (Tomahawk, Space Force, Abu Dhabi, Cuba/Cuban).
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Contract
KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-TOMA
Risk
Auto-managed
Monitor
Live
02
AI Execution Architecture
Runes Turns Market Intelligence Into Executable Trade Direction.
The report is only the first layer. Runes routes each live event through a set of large language models, then converts their analysis into deterministic instructions the algorithm can price, validate, execute, and monitor.
01
Market intelligence
Our LLM stack reviews the live event, pricing, liquidity, and the evidence behind each contract, and every report is grounded in current market data before it can feed a trade.
02
Decision rail
Structured output maps each ticker to a YES or NO signal with a confidence score, which your algorithm's rules then check. Signal analysis only, not a recommendation.
03
Controlled execution
The algorithm enters only when direction, entry price, sizing, and risk limits all align, then monitors the position through to exit or settlement.
03
The algorithmic journey
Algorithmic Trading with Precision & Intelligence.
Every game Runes trades walks the same path — found, priced, funded, guarded, entered, watched and closed or settled — with nothing skipped and nothing left to impulse.
Tracing Basketball · Lakers vs Celtics
yes + no
Illustrative walkthrough — not live trades or results.
SYSTEM VITALS
Profitable / Losses
TODAY
18 / 9
closed trades last session
WEEK
46 / 21
week-to-date record
MONTH
137 / 76
month-to-date record
Simulated / paper results, gross of fees. Hypothetical results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading. Full disclosures.
EDGE
-1.4%
P/L Rate
net vs gross P&L, last 30 days
SPEED
2.7d
Avg Trade Length
average hold, last 30 days
PRECISION
60%
Win Rate
closed trades green, last 30 days
EFFICIENCY
-2.6%
Monthly Balance Change
balance change, month to date
04
Event to contract control
Build Prediction Market Contracts From Live Events.
Runes lets you move from a Kalshi event into its market children, inspect the odds and implied chances, then create the contracts you want to trade. You can build manually through the UI while Runes keeps the position, PnL, and market movement under active monitoring.
01
Event-first setup
Start from a live event, review its child markets, and choose the exact contracts you want to create.
02
Manual contract creation
Use the UI to configure YES or NO exposure, sizing, targets, and contract-specific risk rules.
03
Odds & chance charts
Visualize price, odds, implied probability, volume, and movement across each market child.
04
P/L Management
Track realized and unrealized PnL, define exits, and keep risk visible as each contract moves.
05
Market context
Compare contract behavior against event metadata, market state, and live pricing signals.
06
Dynamic Monitoring
Runes keeps watching created contracts after entry, surfacing changes that matter for execution and risk.
05
Trading psychology
Reflect, learn, and improve with every trade.
Runes isn't just about executing trades; it's about fostering a mindful trading experience. Equip yourself with tools and resources to navigate the emotional challenges of trading, promoting resilience and clear-headed decision-making.
01
Reflective journals
Capture your trading journey, learn from experiences, and refine your approach with Runes's integrated reflective journaling feature.
02
Strategy notes
Personalize your trading strategies with detailed notes, ensuring clarity and adaptability in your decision-making process.
03
Trading reminders
Stay focused and organized with timely reminders, helping you stay on top of important market events and trading tasks.
04
Message of the day
Start each trading day with a dose of inspiration and motivation from Runes's daily messages, fostering a positive mindset for success.
05
Check-ins
Maintain accountability and track your progress through regular check-ins, facilitating reflection and continuous improvement in your trading journey.
06
Max loss shutdown
Protect your investment and manage risk effectively by setting automated shutdown limits to prevent further losses beyond your predefined threshold.
06
100+ features to trade like a pro
100+ features to enable you to trade like a pro.
Sports Round Of
Trades same-day tennis round-of markets: heavy favorites before the match, and the underdog side when a favorite has not taken control mid-match.
Sports Total Runs
Targets today's multi-outcome Total Runs markets, entering strikes whose price and momentum sit in a defined sweet spot.
Trump Mentions
Trades independent multi-choice mention markets tied to Trump appearances, filtered for relevance and liquidity.
Mentions Event Basket
Builds baskets of likely YES phrases and high-conviction NO fades around a scheduled speech or interview.
Rates & Treasury Ladders
Combines FOMC rate-decision markets with daily and monthly 2Y, 5Y, 10Y and 30Y Treasury yield strike ladders.
Macro Economic Releases
Trades high-impact releases such as CPI, PCE inflation, initial jobless claims, AAA gas, EIA diesel and TSA passenger volumes.
Consumer Alternative Data
Targets recurring monthly consumer releases including card spend, app downloads, foot traffic and point-of-sale growth.
AI Ecosystem Benchmarks
Covers AI market-share, benchmark leaderboard and GPU hourly-pricing ladder markets (A100, H100, B200).
Financials Intraday Checkpoint
Trades short-cycle index and FX level markets that settle at checkpoints like 10am or 4pm, looking for same-day repricing.
Political Governance
Targets legislation, executive actions, confirmation hearings, government shutdowns and presidential approval milestones.
LLM-driven entries
Algorithms configured with LLM entry conditions hand each event to an LLM, which returns a structured YES/NO signal for each market; your algorithm's rules decide whether to enter. Analysis only, not a recommendation.
Gemini signal reports
Mentions events get a Gemini signal report every six hours using your own API key, ready before your algorithm's rules are checked.
AI contract reviews
Review individual contracts with ChatGPT and Gemini write-ups alongside entry price, velocity and final profit.
LLM decision audit
Every LLM generation, accepted entry and rejected entry is logged to its own activity feed so you can see why a trade did or did not happen.
Kalshi series sweeps
Open events and markets are pulled from Kalshi for the series you follow several times a day, with expired events cleaned up automatically.
Recurring series configs
Add Kalshi series tickers in bulk and Runes keeps tracking their recurring events and markets for the algorithms to evaluate.
Live orderbook snapshots
Orderbooks refresh every 30 minutes across tracked markets and every minute for markets you hold, with snapshots kept for history.
Implied probability
YES/NO prices are read as implied chances from the live orderbook, so favorites and underdogs are picked from current odds, not stale quotes.
Event structure detection
Events are classified as single binary, paired, three-way, cascading ladder or independent multi-outcome, and trades are built to fit each shape.
Event candlesticks
Price candles are collected every 30 minutes for all events and every minute for events with open contracts, then archived nightly.
Profit-target exits
Contracts are checked every two minutes and sold once they reach their profit target percentage.
Take profit on retracement
With take profit enabled, Runes waits until profit passes your dollar target and then exits only when it starts to pull back.
Winning contract capture
Optionally sell contracts that have held a minimum profit for a set number of minutes, so gains are banked before the event turns.
Winning position sweeps
Positions on your Kalshi account with large unrealized gains are swept every minute while markets are open.
Scheduled sells
Schedule exits for a specific time or end of day, in bulk or per position, with support for partial quantities.
One-click liquidation
Liquidate a single contract or many at once from the portfolio, and cancel open orders in the same place.
Settlement reconciliation
Kalshi settlements are fetched hourly to close resolved contracts and record their final P&L.
Fill-verified exits
An exit only closes a contract once Kalshi confirms the fill; partial or unfilled exits stay open and are re-checked.
Average price sync
Entry prices are synced to your Kalshi position's average price so profit percentages reflect what you actually paid.
Per-algorithm spend limits
Each algorithm has its own maximum spend per market, set in your contract configuration.
Performance-based sizing
Spend per trade scales with each algorithm's win rate for the day, from 10% of the limit for cold algorithms up to 170% for hot ones.
Daily loss limit
New algorithm entries stop for the day once today's algorithmic P&L falls below your maximum loss.
Daily order cost cap
Total order cost per day and total active position cost are checked before every new contract is created.
Active contract limits
Limits on open contracts per user and per market ticker and algorithm keep exposure spread out.
Duplicate market protection
Each exact market can hold only one contract, and markets are reserved before ordering so concurrent algorithms cannot double-buy.
Customizable entry conditions
Combine named conditions for probability zones, spreads, volume, open interest, velocity and time to expiry per algorithm.
Bet direction controls
Run an algorithm on the natural side, all YES, all NO or flipped; forced underdog sides are capped at 25% of normal spend.
Orderbook depth checks
Algorithms can inspect orderbook depth and executable quotes before submitting, skipping markets that cannot fill.
Zero-fill cooldowns
Markets that repeatedly fail to fill are put on cooldown, and events Kalshi marks unavailable are skipped.
Safe exit guards
Exits wait until the event is live and are paused when market data is stale or an entry price looks corrupt.
Contract alerts
Entries, exits and failed orders are recorded as contract events and can be sent to your own Discord webhook.
Automated contract logging
Every contract Runes opens is recorded with its algorithm, market, side, entry price, quantity and outcome.
Order sync with Kalshi
Order state is pulled from Kalshi every minute, and resting orders are flipped to active once they fill.
Contract timelines
Key events such as entries, exits, partial fills and sync repairs are kept on each contract's timeline.
Filtered activity feed
Browse activity by entries, exits, settlements, liquidations, failed creations, orphan positions and more.
Portfolio views
Filter positions as winning, losing, stale, stalled or orphaned, with live profit for each.
Algorithm performance charts
Compare profits by algorithm and timeframe, and see each contract's highest profit against its final profit.
Cashflow tracking
Track balance, buying power, intraday cashflow and daily revenue, and set profit goals.
Daily and historical archives
Orders, contract details, orderbooks and candlesticks roll from daily tables into history, so past trades keep their market context.
Event trader feed
Share your read on a game, a Fed decision or a mentions market, and how your YES/NO contracts on Kalshi settled.
Charts & screenshots
Attach odds charts, orderbook screenshots or files to a post to show why you took a side.
Event hashtags & mentions
Tag posts with hashtags like #NFL, #FOMC or #CPI and @mention traders, so takes on the same event stay together.
Scheduled posts
Write your pre-game or pre-release take ahead of time and schedule it to post before the event goes live.
Likes, replies & shares
Like and reply to posts, share them with your followers, or send one straight into a private conversation.
Algorithm forums
Ask how others set odds bands, bet direction, entry price caps and spend limits on the Runes algorithms.
Unanswered & popular threads
Filter forums by unanswered questions, popular this week, your own questions, threads you have joined and favorites.
Direct & group messages
Message a trader one-to-one or start a group to compare picks before an event starts, with file attachments.
Follow traders
Follow event traders whose calls you want to track, see their activity, and get suggestions for who to follow.
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Got a question? We have answers
Frequently Asked Questions
01 What is Runes, and how does it work?
Runes is an automated prediction market trading platform that allows users to create and execute trading strategies using AI, algorithms, and real-time data. It simplifies trading by automating buy and sell decisions based on predefined criteria.
02 Can I use Runes if I'm new to trading?
Absolutely! Runes is designed for traders of all experience levels. We offer user-friendly features and resources to help beginners get started while providing advanced tools for seasoned traders.
03 What types of strategies can I create on Runes?
Runes supports a wide range of trading strategies, including manual and automated ones. You can set strategies based on technical indicators, price movements, and more to suit your trading style.
04 How do I set up automated buy and sell schedules?
Setting automated buy and sell schedules is easy on Runes. Define your parameters, such as profit targets and stop-loss levels, and let the platform handle the rest.
05 Are there risk management tools available on Runes?
Yes, Runes offers robust risk management features. You can set stop-loss orders, define risk tolerances, and protect your investments while trading.
06 What brokerage is used to execute Runes's trades?
Runes uses Kalshi's APIs for executing buys and sells, ensuring seamless and reliable order execution on the prediction market.
07 Can I receive real-time alerts and notifications?
Absolutely. Runes provides real-time alerts and notifications for strategy events and important market developments, keeping you informed at all times.
08 How can I analyze the performance of my strategies?
Runes offers detailed performance tracking, including statistics and insights. You can analyze profit and loss, strategy efficiency, and historical data to evaluate your strategies.
09 Is my data and account information secure on Runes?
Yes, we prioritize data security. Runes employs industry-standard encryption and security measures to protect your data and account information.
10 How do I get started with Runes?
To get started, sign up for an account on Runes's platform, explore the features, and begin creating and executing your trading strategies. We also offer resources and tutorials to help you on your trading journey.
Algorithmic apps
9 algorithmic apps, 5 markets
Production-grade trading apps for stocks, options, forex, crypto, and prediction markets. Each one manages the full trade lifecycle, with risk controls and capital allocation built in.
Core markets
Stocks, options, and forex
Neptune Featured
Live
Trades stocks through the Alpaca API, with risk limits and
capital allocation built in.
Orion
Live
Runs options strategies through the Alpaca API, built around
premiums and price movement.
Triton
Live
Trades currency pairs through the Oanda API, adapting to
momentum and shifts in volatility.
Hyperion
Live
Hyperion turns the year’s biggest macro events into ranked investment
theses — each traced down to the specific stocks it touches and the milestones that
will prove or kill it.
Crypto markets
24/7 trading on digital assets
Virgil
Live
Trades crypto through the Alpaca API, timing entries and
exits around momentum and liquidity.
Apollo
Live
Runs systematic strategies on high-liquidity digital assets
through the Coinbase API.
Ceres
Coming soon
Turns systematic market signals into precise crypto
execution through the Oanda API.
Prediction markets
24/7 trading on real-world event outcomes
Investing in financial products involves taking risk. Your investments may increase or decrease in value, and losses may exceed the value of your original investment. Full Disclaimer
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Simple, transparent pricing
Pricing aligned with your algorithmic trading.
A $5.00/mo access subscription keeps your billing profile active, paired with a 0.5% monthly platform fee on your Kalshi account value. Performance fees (12%) apply only to net realized profit from algorithm contracts closed or settled that month, and only when it is positive.
Demo / Paper trading
$5.00/ mo
Access subscription + 0.5% platform / 12% performance
Refine your strategy. Access advanced algorithms.
- $5.00/mo access keeps card on file
- 0.5% monthly platform fee on Kalshi account value
- 12% performance fee on positive monthly realized contract profit only
- Cancel anytime in-app
Practice with virtual funds. Learn and master algorithmic trading.
Trust & value
You're always in control.
Your funds remain safe within Kalshi — a regulated U.S. prediction market exchange. We don't hold or reinvest your capital. You can deposit or withdraw at any time, with no restrictions or lockups.
- Funds held at Kalshi (regulated U.S. exchange)
- We never hold or reinvest your capital
- Deposit or withdraw at any time, no lockups
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Get in touch
Subscribe to be notified when we launch.
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